Will a new Valve Half-Life game release with a Metacritic PC Metascore of 90+ before 2028?
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Description Valve hasn't released a new Half-Life game since Half-Life: Alyx (2020). In October 2026, Valve composer Mike Morasky referenced the codename "HLX" at GameSoundCon, but as of November 15, 2026 Valve has announced no title, trailer, release date or store page. Half-Life 2 (96) and Alyx (93) scored highly on Metacritic.
- This event resolves YES if, between November 15, 2026 and December 31, 2027 23:59 UTC, Valve releases a new Half-Life game AND its PC critic Metascore is 90 or higher at any point before that deadline. May resolve YES early once both are met.
- This event resolves NO if no qualifying game releases in the window, if it has no PC Metascore by the deadline, or if its PC Metascore stays below 90 throughout.
- 1. Specificity: Qualifying game = new standalone product with "Half-Life" in its official title or officially presented by Valve as a Half-Life game (e.g., Half-Life 3, an HLX game, a standalone episode), developed or published by Valve. Free and VR-only PC games count. "Released" = full game playable by the general public (e.g., on Steam) before the deadline. Metascore = critic Metascore shown for PC on the game's Metacritic page.
- 2. Exclusion: Remasters, remakes, ports, re-releases, mods, demos, betas, playtests, early access, preloads, DLC, updates, Portal or other Valve series, licensed games not developed or published by Valve. User scores and non-PC Metascores do not count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Metacritic.com priority (score; past values verifiable via Wayback Machine or major outlets quoting it). Official Valve/Steam announcements secondary (release). IGN, PC Gamer, The Verge tertiary.
- 4. Timing: Release and qualifying Metascore must both occur before December 31, 2027 23:59 UTC. Post-deadline resolves NO. Trading closes at the earlier of release or review embargo lift; later bets are void.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: Announcement alone without public release resolves NO. A 90+ Metascore reached before the deadline counts even if it later drops.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmwi112z1cco501s58r51xy6i