Will a new Half-Life game release with a Metascore of 90+ before 2028?
$45,739 Vol. 417d 11h left
Description Valve hasn't released a new Half-Life game since Half-Life: Alyx (2020, Metascore 93). Its unannounced project 'HLX', rumored to be a non-VR Half-Life game on Source 2, was first named publicly by Valve composer Mike Morasky at GameSoundCon in Oct 2026; as of Nov 9, 2026 it remains unannounced.
- This event resolves YES if, between Nov 9, 2026 and Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC (Dec 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET), Valve releases a new Half-Life game whose Metacritic PC Metascore is 90+ with at least 15 critic reviews at any point before the deadline. Resolves YES as soon as met. Trading closes at the earliest of: first critic review on Metacritic/embargo lift, release, or deadline.
- This event resolves NO if no new Half-Life game is released by the deadline, or its Metascore never reaches 90 with 15+ reviews before the deadline (incl. a late-2027 release lacking 15 reviews).
- 1. Specificity: New Half-Life game = brand-new full game or episode in the Half-Life series developed or published by Valve, fully commercially released. VR-only titles count. If no PC Metascore exists, use the platform with the most critic reviews.
- 2. Exclusion: Remasters, remakes, ports, re-releases, updates, mods, DLC for older games, fan projects, demos, betas, early access, paid previews, or announcements without release. Games not marketed as Half-Life series don't count.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: Metacritic.com priority (a past 90+ score needs a Wayback/archive.today snapshot or major-outlet report). Major outlets (IGN, PC Gamer, The Verge) secondary. Valve/Steam tertiary, only for release date and branding.
- 4. Timing: Release and qualifying Metascore must occur before Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC. Post-deadline resolves NO.
- 5. Cancellation Rule: Announcement without release resolves NO. If score hits 90+ with 15+ reviews then drops, still YES.
Data Source for Event Outcome
- You can dispute the decision within 7 days after the settlement; to do so, write to our technical support by email and telegram.
- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmw9gdune3kkw01lqr8kgb88a