Who will win the 2026 Booker Prize?
$1,560,571 Vol. 15:34:29 left
Outcome
% Chance
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The Disappearers (Marlon James)
$291,781 Vol.
33.0%
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John of John (Douglas Stuart)
$285,164 Vol.
26.0%
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May We Feed the King (Rebecca Perry)
$250,922 Vol.
18.0%
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The End of Everything (M. John Harrison)
$232,837 Vol.
12.0%
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The Things We Never Say (Elizabeth Strout)
$278,518 Vol.
7.0%
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Black Bag (Luke Kennard)
$221,349 Vol.
4.0%
Description The 2026 Booker Prize shortlist of six novels was announced on September 22, 2026, chosen by a panel chaired by Mary Beard (with Raymond Antrobus, Jarvis Cocker, Patricia Lockwood and Rebecca Liu). The £50,000 winner is scheduled to be announced on the evening of November 9, 2026 at Old Billingsgate, London. Former winners Marlon James (2015) and Douglas Stuart (2020) are shortlisted.
- This event resolves YES for the outcome whose book is officially named the 2026 Booker Prize winner by the Booker Prize Foundation on or before December 31, 2026 23:59 UTC.
- All other outcomes resolve NO.
- 1. Specificity: Only the official 2026 Booker Prize winner as announced by the Booker Prize Foundation counts. If the prize is officially shared, each co-winning book resolves YES.
- 2. Exclusion: The International Booker Prize, other awards, betting odds, leaks, media speculation or unofficial reports do not count. Shortlisting alone does not count. If a shortlisted book is withdrawn or disqualified, its outcome resolves NO; other outcomes are unaffected.
- 3. Source Hierarchy: thebookerprizes.com official announcement priority. Major news outlets (BBC, The Guardian, NPR) secondary. Wikipedia's 2026 Booker Prize page tertiary.
- 4. Timing: The winner must be officially announced on or before December 31, 2026 23:59 UTC. If no winner is announced by then, all outcomes resolve NO.
- 5. Postponement / Rescission Rule: If the ceremony is postponed but the winner is announced on or before the deadline, the market resolves on that announcement. A later rescinding of the award does not change resolution, which is based on the first official announcement.
Data Source for Event Outcome
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- The Primary Resolution Data for this Event Outcome may be published on one of the following sites:
- https://www.bloomberg.com/
- https://www.reuters.com/
- https://www.wsj.com
Resolution
- Resolution ID: cmufr86avfg5101o0jlp0c5iq