Who will win "Album of the Year" at the 68th Grammy Awards?
1,214,578 Vol.6 months ago (Feb-02-2026 07:59:00 AM UTC)
Outcome
% Chance
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RESOLVED
Bad Bunny - DtMF
$200,381 Vol.
100.0%
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RESOLVED
Justin Bieber - Swag
$178,005 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
Other
$215,639 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
Sabrina Carpenter - Man's Best Friend
$184,170 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
Kendrick Lamar - GNX
$195,294 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
Lady Gaga - Mayhem
$241,089 Vol.
0.0%
DescriptionThis event resolves based on the official announcement of the winner for "Album of the Year" at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards. The focus of the market is strictly on the formal winner recognized by the Recording Academy during the televised ceremony or on the official winners' list.
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- The outcome is determined by the specific album and artist declared as the category winner. If the Recording Academy announces a tie, all tied outcomes will resolve as "Yes" (pro-rata). If an album not explicitly listed among the outcomes wins the category, the event resolves as "Other." Post-ceremony disqualifications or technical revisions occurring after the initial official broadcast do not affect the resolution of this market.
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- Ahead of resolution, the market is influenced by critical consensus and industry voting patterns. The eligibility window (closing August 30, 2025) and the 9 nominations for Kendrick Lamar’s "GNX" serve as primary indicators. Market volatility is driven by the absence of Taylor Swift in this cycle and the shifting odds for major challengers like Lady Gaga and Bad Bunny in the General Field categories.
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- Primary resolution sources are the official winners' list on Grammy.com and the live telecast provided by CBS. Secondary sources may be used only to confirm the content of the official announcement.
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- This event measures the Recording Academy’s selection for the premier musical body of work of the 2026 awards cycle.