Who Commands Argentina’s Chamber of Deputies After the 2025 Midterms?
6,274 Vol.10 months ago (Oct-27-2025 03:59:00 AM UTC)
Outcome
% Chance
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RESOLVED
La Libertad Avanza
$1,356 Vol.
100.0%
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RESOLVED
Unión por la Patria
$2,481 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
Juntos por el Cambio
$2,437 Vol.
0.0%
DescriptionCan President Javier Milei’s libertarian La Libertad Avanza convert street‑level buzz into congressional muscle, or will Peronism’s Unión por la Patria and the center‑right Juntos por el Cambio claw back control? With 127 lower‑house seats up for grabs on October 26, 2025, soaring inflation and austerity have turned this into the most unpredictable midterm in decades. This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” for the single Outcome corresponding to the party or electoral coalition that wins the largest number of seats nationwide in the 2025 Argentine Chamber of Deputies election as officially certified by the National Electoral Chamber (Cámara Nacional Electoral) on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official information from the Cámara Nacional Electoral; however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.