Which movie will have the biggest domestic opening weekend of 2026 (openings through Dec 20)? - Predict on WahooPredict
Which movie will have the biggest domestic opening weekend of 2026 (openings through Dec 20)?
31,851 Vol.Ends in: 54d 12h
$31,851 Vol.ยท54d 12h left
Outcome
% Chance
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Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$9,729 Vol.
52.4%
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Avengers: Doomsday
$5,146 Vol.
42.9%
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Other
$8,427 Vol.
2.9%
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Dune: Part Three
$8,549 Vol.
1.9%
DescriptionSpider-Man: Brand New Day (July 31) holds the 2026 and all-time domestic opening record at ~$360.09M (Box Office Mojo actuals). Avengers: Doomsday opens Dec 18, 2026 with record presales and tracking from ~$260M to $400M+, alongside Dune: Part Three.
This event resolves to the eligible film with the highest 3-day (Fri-Sun) domestic (US & Canada) opening weekend gross, as reported by December 23, 2026 23:59 UTC.
1. Specificity: Eligible films are 2026 theatrical releases whose opening weekend ends on or before Dec 20, 2026. The compared figure is the opening-weekend gross Box Office Mojo lists for each film, including all previews/early fan or premium-format screenings that BOM rolls into the weekend. Monday actuals are final; Sunday studio estimates are used only if no actuals are published by the deadline. Any revision to a figure published before the deadline is used.
2. Exclusion: Films opening Dec 23-31 (e.g., Dec 25) are excluded. Worldwide/international grosses, 4/5-day holiday totals and re-releases do not count. If Avengers: Doomsday or Dune: Part Three is delayed outside the eligible window, it is treated as not released and the result is decided among eligible films.
3. Source Hierarchy: Box Office Mojo priority. The Numbers secondary. Deadline/Variety/The Hollywood Reporter tertiary.
4. Timing: Based on data available by December 23, 2026 23:59 UTC. Later revisions do not change the result.
5. Tie: If figures are equal to the dollar, the earlier-released film wins.
Data Source for Event Outcome
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