US Gas Price average: April 1?
1,840,343 Vol.4 months ago (Apr-01-2026 01:00:00 PM UTC)
Outcome
% Chance
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RESOLVED
Above $3.51
$358,646 Vol.
100.0%
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RESOLVED
$3.01 – $3.50
$433,117 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
$2.51 – $2.80
$288,227 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
$2.81 – $3.00
$386,833 Vol.
0.0%
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RESOLVED
Under $2.50
$378,794 Vol.
0.0%
DescriptionThis event resolves based on the National Average Price for a Gallon of Regular Unleaded Gasoline in the United States as reported by AAA (American Automobile Association) on April 1, 2026.
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- The "AAA Daily Average Rule" is in effect: The resolution value is the national average price published on gasprices.aaa.com for the morning of April 1, 2026. As of January 27, 2026, the national average is $2.81. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its January Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) projects that the Q2 2026 average (April-June) will rise slightly to $3.02 per gallon as refineries switch to summer-grade fuel. GasBuddy’s 2026 forecast also suggests a "spring peak" in the low $3.20s. However, with Brent crude projected to average just $56/b in 2026 (down from $81 in 2024), long-term pressure remains downward. If the price is exactly on a boundary (e.g., $2.80), it resolves into the higher bracket ($2.81 – $3.00). Confirmation will be based on the AAA daily price ticker. Revisions to the data made after April 2nd will not be considered.
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- As of January 27, 2026, the market is balancing between the "Trump $2 gas goal" and the technical realities of refinery maintenance. While several states in the Gulf Coast and South are already seeing prices near $2.20, the high costs on the West Coast (~$4.10) keep the national average pulled upward.
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- Resolution based on official AAA Gas Prices data.