DescriptionUS lawmakers urged restrictions on Chinese airline landing rights if China fails to restore rare-earth exports. Will the US government (DOT, State Department, or White House) officially announce new restrictions on Chinese airline landing rights in the United States on or before 18 December 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if DOT, State, or the White House publish an official order or press release announcing new restrictions on Chinese airlines, dated on or before the Event Date Close. It will Settle to “No” if no such announcement occurs by the Event Date Close. Will not count: Airline schedule changes for commercial reasons; extensions of existing restrictions without new actions; media leaks; announcements after the Event Date Close. The primary source will be US DOT and White House official publications; confirmation may be supported by Reuters. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on US aviation policy leverage in rare-earth negotiations.