DescriptionWill the Sanseito party formally join or support a ruling coalition in Japan's government, such as through a confidence-and-supply agreement or cabinet participation, on or before 31 December 2025? This Event Outcome will Settle to “Yes” if credible reports confirm Sanseito entering into a coalition arrangement with the LDP or other parties to form or sustain a government, dated on or before the Event Date Close. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to “Yes,” the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to “No.” The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official party statements or Diet records; however a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.