DescriptionThis Event Outcome will Settle to "Yes" if a credible reporting source confirms that Donald Trump is awarded the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize before the official Nobel announcement date on October 11, 2025. If it becomes impossible for this Event Outcome to Settle to "Yes", the Event Outcome may Settle immediately to "No". The primary source for this Event Outcome will be official statements from the Nobel Prize Committee, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources may also be used. The Event Outcome is a Prediction on an Announcement from a credible reporting source.