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Will The Elder Scrolls VI be released before January 1, 2029?
33%
Yes
Yes
No
$28,585 Vol
Tesla vs SpaceX: Will Tesla's market cap reach these % of SpaceX's at the Dec 31, 2026 close?
Above 60%
62%
Yes
No
Above 70%
44%
Yes
No
+3 more
$30,024 Vol
Will 10+ GTA VI critic reviews be published and listed on Metacritic before 12:00 AM ET Nov 19, 2026?
82%
Yes
Yes
No
$16,470 Vol
Will Microsoft raise the US price of any Xbox Series X|S console again before July 1, 2027?
78%
Yes
Yes
No
$31,417 Vol
Will Apple announce an eyewear brand partner for its smart glasses by Dec 31, 2027?
23%
Yes
Yes
No
$34,611 Vol
What will Apple officially name its smart home display (the rumored "HomePad")?
HomePod-branded
43%
Yes
Home-branded
33%
Yes
+3 more
$17,041 Vol
Will Apple announce a MacBook with a Dynamic Island by December 31, 2026?
53%
Yes
Yes
No
$23,166 Vol
Will OpenAI officially announce two distinct consumer hardware devices before 2028?
68%
Yes
Yes
No
$26,781 Vol
OpenAI valuation milestones by June 30, 2027: $1T, $1.25T, $1.5T?
$1 trillion
87%
Yes
No
$1.25 trillion
85%
Yes
No
+1 more
$19,326 Vol
Will Anthropic's IPO raise more than $75B (excluding greenshoe) by Dec 31, 2026?
80%
Yes
Yes
No
$34,859 Vol
Will Tesla's next-gen Roadster lift fully off the ground in a live demo by October 31, 2026?
60%
Yes
Yes
No
$36,345 Vol
Will Valve officially announce a new Half-Life game by November 16, 2026?
19%
Yes
Yes
No
$30,493 Vol
Will the EU Commission issue DSA preliminary findings or a decision against X over its recommender algorithm by Dec 31, 2026?
21%
Yes
Yes
No
$15,575 Vol
Will OpenAI formally declare it has achieved AGI before January 1, 2027?
23%
Yes
Yes
No
$68,114 Vol
Will Apple settle the UK iPhone 'batterygate' class action (Gutmann v Apple) by December 31, 2027?
43%
Yes
Yes
No
$41,661 Vol
How many Orb-verified humans will World (Sam Altman's World ID) report before April 2027?
20 million
73%
Yes
No
21 million
68%
Yes
No
+1 more
$68,875 Vol
Will Texas settle its smart TV 'ACR spying' lawsuit with Sony, Hisense or TCL by March 31, 2027?
52%
Yes
Yes
No
$25,804 Vol
Nasir El-Rufai number of tweets October 3 - October 10, 2026?
< 12
0%
Yes
12 - 13
0%
Yes
+3 more
$88,155 Vol
Atiku Abubakar number of tweets October 3 - October 10, 2026?
< 6
4%
Yes
6 - 10
26%
Yes
+3 more
$148,014 Vol
Will the 2027 Oscars draw more than 17.9 million US viewers?
39%
Yes
Yes
No
$29,623 Vol
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